Port Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Melbourne v North Geelong Warriors — Team-Based Signals
Port Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
North Geelong Warriors
AVNPL
0-2
HT 0-1
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
0-4
HT 0-2
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
North Geelong Warriors saw off Port Melbourne 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had North Geelong Warriors as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Port Melbourne and 0.00 for North Geelong Warriors.
What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors?
Port Melbourne 0-2 North Geelong Warriors in the AVPL1 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors?
Before kick-off our model rated an North Geelong Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 25%, draw 24%, North Geelong Warriors 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Geelong Warriors) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.