GAIS 0-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.28
X/2
10%
9.18
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
2/2
12%
6.62
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.58/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.79
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
Crosses 18.1
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Norrköping
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.53 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
369 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
01.03.2014 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
01.10.2012 Norrköping Norrköping 7-2 HT 4-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.04.2012 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.09.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-1
AWAY Norrköping
0.92 xG 2.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
326 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past GAIS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was GAIS at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 57% of the ball to Norrköping's 43%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 0.92 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GAIS and 1.83 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Norrköping?

GAIS 0-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split GAIS 48%, draw 25%, Norrköping 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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