Vasteras SK FK 1-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Aug 2024

Vasteras SK FK
1-2 HT 1-2
AIK
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Vasteras SK FK vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.11
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
10%
6.06
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
15%
4.71
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasteras SK FK v AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 43%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.57/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-21% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
459 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.0 Crosses 20.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Vasteras SK FK vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY AIK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.89 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
399 Passes 341
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.04.2024 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
18.02.2023 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
19.06.2005 AIK AIK 5-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2

Vasteras SK FK 1-2 AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-2
AWAY AIK
1.01 xG 2.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
508 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK squeezed past Vasteras SK FK 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day AIK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 60% of the ball to AIK's 40%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.01 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 2.33 for AIK.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs AIK?

Vasteras SK FK 1-2 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 35%, draw 29%, AIK 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5
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