AIK 1-0 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.3
X/1
18%
3.71
X/2
8%
11.25
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
14%
9.0
2/X
7%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2023 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
19.06.2005 AIK AIK 5-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
1-0
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.31 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
341 Passes 399
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AIK vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK squeezed past Vasteras SK FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AIK had 46% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 54%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.31 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AIK and 0.50 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of AIK vs Vasteras SK FK?

AIK 1-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AIK 47%, draw 24%, Vasteras SK FK 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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