Göteborg 1-4 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Apr 2024

Göteborg
1-4 HT 0-2
Djurgarden
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.9
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
10%
6.29
X/2
16%
4.66
X/X
10%
4.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.22
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
1.42/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.04
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.8 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Göteborg vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
303 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
13.08.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
23.04.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
18.09.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
20.04.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.10.2021 Göteborg Göteborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Göteborg 1-4 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-4
AWAY Djurgarden
0.97 xG 2.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
350 Passes 513
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden cruised past Göteborg 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göteborg had 41% of the ball to Djurgarden's 59%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.97 to 2.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Göteborg and 1.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Djurgarden?

Göteborg 1-4 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 27%, draw 28%, Djurgarden 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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