IK Sirius 3-0 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
14%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.11
X/2
9%
9.35
X/X
10%
5.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.85
2/2
8%
6.83
2/X
8%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 14% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
2.15/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.55
+19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
454 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.1 Crosses 18.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Halmstad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.23
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
490 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
21.05.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
27.09.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
18.04.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
23.02.2019 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
12.08.2017 Halmstad Halmstad 0-3 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
3-0
AWAY Halmstad
1.33 xG 0.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
501 Passes 291
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius swept aside Halmstad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, IK Sirius had 60% of the ball to Halmstad's 40%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Sirius and 1.17 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Halmstad?

IK Sirius 3-0 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 50%, draw 26%, Halmstad 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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