BW Lohne 2-0 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.96/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.35
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BW Lohne
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
4 Corners 1
24.02.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-3 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BW Lohne vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne saw off Phönix Lübeck 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had BW Lohne as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for BW Lohne and 1.50 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of BW Lohne vs Phönix Lübeck?

BW Lohne 2-0 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a BW Lohne win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 42%, draw 26%, Phönix Lübeck 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BW Lohne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BW Lohne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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