FC Bocholt 3-5 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

FC Bocholt
3-5 HT 1-2
Fortuna Köln
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

FC Bocholt vs Fortuna Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Bocholt v Fortuna Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.29
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

FC Bocholt vs Fortuna Köln Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bocholt
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 2-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
03.03.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
28.01.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Bocholt vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln beat FC Bocholt 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Fortuna Köln found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for FC Bocholt and 0.75 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of FC Bocholt vs Fortuna Köln?

FC Bocholt 3-5 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bocholt vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bocholt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bocholt 40%, draw 24%, Fortuna Köln 37%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Bocholt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bocholt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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