Fortuna Köln 0-1 FC Bocholt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
1.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.62
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Bocholt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 2-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
03.03.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
28.01.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Köln
0-1
AWAY FC Bocholt
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs FC Bocholt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bocholt edged past Fortuna Köln 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fortuna Köln had 63% of the ball to FC Bocholt's 37%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Köln and 0.67 for FC Bocholt.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs FC Bocholt?

Fortuna Köln 0-1 FC Bocholt in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs FC Bocholt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 53%, draw 21%, FC Bocholt 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
13 Apr 2024
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
14:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Lehnerz Analysis →
15:00 Vilzing vs Buchbach Analysis →
15:00 Augsburg II vs Ansbach 09 Analysis →
15:00 Schweinfurt vs Illertissen Analysis →