VfB Oldenburg 5-2 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +17%
1.89/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.24
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 1-0 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
01.05.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Oldenburg
5-2
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 2
14 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg swept aside Teutonia Hamburg 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, VfB Oldenburg had 55% of the ball to Teutonia Hamburg's 45%, shots finished 23-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.25 for Teutonia Hamburg.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Teutonia Hamburg?

VfB Oldenburg 5-2 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 44%, draw 23%, Teutonia Hamburg 33%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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