Teutonia Hamburg 1-0 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.79/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.75
+30% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
0W-2D-1L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
01.05.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
1-0
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teutonia Hamburg nicked a narrow win over VfB Oldenburg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Teutonia Hamburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Teutonia Hamburg had 56% of the ball to VfB Oldenburg's 44%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 2.33 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg?

Teutonia Hamburg 1-0 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 36%, draw 24%, VfB Oldenburg 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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