Adelaide Olympic 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.59
Over 2.5
72%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
28%
Under 2.5
24%
+4.1pp
72%
Over 2.5
76%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.0pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Olympic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
2.34/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.69
+4% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Olympic
2W-3D-1L
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
27.05.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 3-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
04.03.2023 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 0-3 HT 0-1 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
02.07.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 3-3 HT 3-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
02.04.2022 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 4-0 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
17.07.2021 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 2-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Olympic edged past South Adelaide Panthers 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide Olympic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide Olympic had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Adelaide Olympic and 2.00 for South Adelaide Panthers.

What was the final score of Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Adelaide Olympic 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Olympic 48%, draw 23%, South Adelaide Panthers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide Olympic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide Olympic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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