St. George Saints 0-1 Marconi Stallions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.21
Over 2.5
42%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
27%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.48/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.85
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. George Saints
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marconi Stallions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
27.04.2024 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 4-0 HT 2-0 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs Marconi Stallions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions edged past St. George Saints 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marconi Stallions as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs Marconi Stallions?

St. George Saints 0-1 Marconi Stallions in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs Marconi Stallions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 32%, draw 28%, Marconi Stallions 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marconi Stallions), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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