St George City FA 3-1 Hills Brumbies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hills Brumbies EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.71/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.17
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hills Brumbies
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.04.2024 Hills Brumbies Hills Brumbies 2-0 HT 1-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Hills Brumbies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA got the better of Hills Brumbies 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Hills Brumbies?

St George City FA 3-1 Hills Brumbies in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Hills Brumbies?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 60%, draw 18%, Hills Brumbies 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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