O Connor Knights 2-2 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 19%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-64% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
20.04.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
05.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-2 HT 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
10.06.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
22.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 5-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights and Tuggeranong United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had O Connor Knights at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for O Connor Knights and 0.60 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?

O Connor Knights 2-2 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 65%, draw 19%, Tuggeranong United 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (O Connor Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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