Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Melbourne City — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Melbourne City
AVUS
2-4
HT 1-1
Melbourne City
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Melbourne City
AVUS
Perth Glory 5-4 Melbourne City — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory squeezed past Melbourne City 5-4. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Perth Glory had 43% of the ball to Melbourne City's 57%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory and 3.33 for Melbourne City.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Perth Glory 5-4 Melbourne City in the Australia - FFA Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 28%, draw 25%, Melbourne City 46%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne City) went the other way.