Hartberg 1-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.15
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
13%
7.09
X/2
20%
4.9
X/X
6%
5.21
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.79
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -4%
1.21/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.14
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
16.6 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
254 Passes 368
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
21.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.02.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.09.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
19.03.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
08.10.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-3 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-2
AWAY LASK Linz
0.65 xG 0.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
267 Passes 427
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz squeezed past Hartberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hartberg had 41% of the ball to LASK Linz's 59%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hartberg and 0.83 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Hartberg 1-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 30%, draw 21%, LASK Linz 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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