Hartberg 1-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Apr 2024

Hartberg
1-2 HT 1-1
LASK Linz
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hartberg vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.94
6+ Goals
11%
17.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 24% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.74
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
11%
6.33
X/2
12%
4.67
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.1
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.16/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.10
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
16.1 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hartberg vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
2W-4D-0L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
241 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.02.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.09.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
19.03.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
08.10.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-3 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
07.05.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-3 HT 2-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU

Hartberg 1-2 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-2
AWAY LASK Linz
1.64 xG 2.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
310 Passes 445
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz nicked a narrow win over Hartberg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hartberg had 43% of the ball to LASK Linz's 57%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.64 to 2.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hartberg and 1.00 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Hartberg 1-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 30%, draw 25%, LASK Linz 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ BTTS Yes
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