Austria Klagenfurt 4-3 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Apr 2024

Austria Klagenfurt
4-3 HT 0-2
Salzburg
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Klagenfurt vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
49%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.85
1/X
6%
20.3
X/1
7%
16.35
X/2
16%
3.55
X/X
13%
7.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.61
2/X
10%
19.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.0pp
28%
Draw
19%
+9.4pp
49%
Away Win
68%
-19.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Klagenfurt v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 72%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
0.82/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.81
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
14.9 Crosses 18.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Austria Klagenfurt vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Salzburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.95 xG 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
211 Passes 350
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 4-2 HT 4-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
03.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
08.10.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
28.05.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 0-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
02.04.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.11.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU

Austria Klagenfurt 4-3 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
4-3
AWAY Salzburg
1.90 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 2
286 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt squeezed past Salzburg 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 47% of the ball to Salzburg's 53%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.90 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 2.33 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Salzburg?

Austria Klagenfurt 4-3 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 23%, draw 28%, Salzburg 49%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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