Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Sturm Graz
AVU
3-2
HT 2-2
Sturm Graz
AVU
0-2
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
AUK
3-1
HT 2-1
Rapid Wien
AVU
Rapid Wien 1-3 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz saw off Rapid Wien 3-1 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rapid Wien had 59% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 41%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.36 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rapid Wien.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.67 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien 1-3 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 27%, draw 28%, Sturm Graz 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.