Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.20/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.39
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 2-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
12.11.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 5-0 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
31.07.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLRK
16.07.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-3 HT 0-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
11.02.2018 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1-2
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr nicked a narrow win over Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 38% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 62%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.40 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Slavia Mozyr?

Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 30%, draw 26%, Slavia Mozyr 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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