Gomel 1-2 Slutsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

Gomel
1-2 HT 1-1
Slutsk
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Gomel vs Slutsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gomel v Slutsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Slutsk EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
2.20/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.63
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Gomel vs Slutsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slutsk
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Slutsk Slutsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
02.12.2023 Gomel Gomel 4-5 HT 1-2 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
08.07.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
15.10.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
27.05.2022 Slutsk Slutsk 2-2 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
18.09.2021 Slutsk Slutsk 1-4 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR

Gomel 1-2 Slutsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
1-2
AWAY Slutsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk edged past Gomel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gomel at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gomel had 53% of the ball to Slutsk's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gomel and 2.00 for Slutsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Slutsk?

Gomel 1-2 Slutsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Slutsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gomel 45%, draw 24%, Slutsk 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gomel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gomel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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