Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-0 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.21
-2% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.0 Crosses 18.4
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.74 xG 1.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
252 Passes 190
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
04.03.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2-0
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.54 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
327 Passes 201
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ got the better of Oriente Petrolero 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 58% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 42%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.54 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 2.00 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-0 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 52%, draw 23%, Oriente Petrolero 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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