Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.72/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +72%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.4 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.05
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
162 Passes 330
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1-0
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.15 xG 0.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
26 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
219 Passes 175
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
44 Box Touches 9
38 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero edged past Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 55% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 45%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Oriente Petrolero's control.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Oriente Petrolero 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 59%, draw 21%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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