Bolivar 2-1 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +23%
2.15/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.33
+47% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +58%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
20.8 Crosses 11.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wilstermann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-2 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
19.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLPLK
09.10.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
24.04.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-3 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
05.10.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
22.05.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-4 HT 0-3 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
2-1
AWAY Wilstermann
1.30 xG 2.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
351 Passes 175
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar squeezed past Wilstermann 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 62% of the ball to Wilstermann's 38%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.30 to 2.14 — on chances, Wilstermann could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bolivar and 1.50 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Wilstermann?

Bolivar 2-1 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 58%, draw 22%, Wilstermann 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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