Libertad vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
Libertad 2-2 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 57% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 43%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 3.73 to 2.84.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 1.67 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Mushuc Runa?
Libertad 2-2 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Libertad 35%, draw 33%, Mushuc Runa 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.