Orense 4-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Aug 2024

Orense
4-0 HT 0-0
Aucas
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 33%
-15% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.14
-31% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.5 Crosses 14.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aucas
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
04.12.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.06.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
09.07.2022 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.02.2022 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
08.08.2021 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
4-0
AWAY Aucas
1.73 xG 0.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
364 Passes 171
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 7
39 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orense vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense ran out comfortable winners over Aucas 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Orense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orense had 65% of the ball to Aucas's 35%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.73 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Orense and 1.50 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Orense vs Aucas?

Orense 4-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orense 38%, draw 30%, Aucas 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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