Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millonarios v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Millonarios
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Millonarios
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Millonarios 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Millonarios squeezed past Deportes Tolima 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Millonarios made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Millonarios had 36% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 64%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.31 to 0.65.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Millonarios and 0.83 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
Millonarios 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 36%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.