Liepaja 0-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Aug 2024

Liepaja
0-1 HT 0-1
Grobina
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Liepaja vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liepaja v Grobina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.45/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.15
-25% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
26.2 Crosses 20.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Liepaja vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Grobina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
268 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
29.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
18.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
10.07.2022 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK

Liepaja 0-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-1
AWAY Grobina
1.00 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
411 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina squeezed past Liepaja 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Liepaja carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liepaja had 57% of the ball to Grobina's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.00 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grobina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liepaja and 1.67 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Grobina?

Liepaja 0-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 55%, draw 19%, Grobina 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ BTTS No
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