Liepaja 3-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.48/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.16
-26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
24.3 Crosses 17.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Grobina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.61 xG 2.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 6
18.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
10.07.2022 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
3-0
AWAY Grobina
1.17 xG 0.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
259 Passes 257
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja cruised past Grobina 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Liepaja had 50% of the ball to Grobina's 50%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.17 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Grobina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liepaja and 2.50 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Grobina?

Liepaja 3-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 44%, draw 28%, Grobina 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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