Riga FC 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
2.77/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.12
+10% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
47.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
30.1 Crosses 10.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.48 xG 0.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
427 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
44 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
23.07.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-6 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
10.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.11.2022 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
3.00 xG 0.63
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
531 Passes 290
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
50 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past FK Tukums 2000 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Riga FC had 63% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 37%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 3.00 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Riga FC 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 67%, draw 18%, FK Tukums 2000 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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