FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

FK Dainava Alytus
0-1 HT 0-0
Hegelmann Litauen
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-8.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Dainava Alytus v Hegelmann Litauen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 62%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.54
-100% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +70%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
242 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.2

FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
09.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
26.08.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
24.06.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
23.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
04.03.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen nicked a narrow win over FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 21%, draw 28%, Hegelmann Litauen 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →