Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ferencvaros v Kecskemeti TE — Team-Based Signals
Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Ferencvaros
MAC
1-0
HT 0-0
Kecskemeti TE
MAC
2-0
HT 1-0
Ferencvaros
MAC
1-1
HT 1-0
Kecskemeti TE
MAC
2-0
HT 2-0
Ferencvaros
MAC
Ferencvaros 1-0 Kecskemeti TE — Actual Match Statistics
Ferencvaros squeezed past Kecskemeti TE 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ferencvaros had 72% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 28%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.72 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferencvaros's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.17 for Kecskemeti TE.
What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE?
Ferencvaros 1-0 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 65%, draw 19%, Kecskemeti TE 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.