MTK Budapest 3-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.42
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.6 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 0-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
05.10.2022 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
25.04.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
05.10.2014 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
3-0
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.09 xG 0.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
332 Passes 226
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest ran out comfortable winners over Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; MTK Budapest found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 57% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 43%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.09 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

MTK Budapest 3-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 40%, draw 29%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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