MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MOL Fehervar v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals
MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Diosgyor
MAC
0-4
HT 0-1
MOL Fehervar
MAC
1-3
HT 1-0
Diosgyor
MAC
3-0
HT 1-0
Diosgyor
MAC
MOL Fehervar 3-1 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics
MOL Fehervar got the better of Diosgyor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MOL Fehervar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, MOL Fehervar had 52% of the ball to Diosgyor's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.72 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.17 for Diosgyor.
What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?
MOL Fehervar 3-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?
Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 52%, draw 25%, Diosgyor 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MOL Fehervar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.