MOL Fehervar 0-0 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.65/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.32
+27% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.4 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.99
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 443
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
28.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-0 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
09.05.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-4 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
20.02.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-3 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
22.11.2020 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
14.03.2020 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
0-0
AWAY Diosgyor
1.46 xG 0.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
369 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
50 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar and Diosgyor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 62% of the ball to Diosgyor's 38%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.46 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.33 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?

MOL Fehervar 0-0 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 53%, draw 22%, Diosgyor 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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