Puskas FC 4-1 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.99/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.54
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
26.7 Crosses 12.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Debrecen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.13 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 533
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
28.10.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
14.04.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
02.03.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-3 HT 1-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
12.11.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.08.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
4-1
AWAY Debrecen
4.32 xG 0.06
70% Ball Possession 30%
29 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
464 Passes 162
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 2
27 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC cruised past Debrecen 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Puskas FC had 70% of the ball to Debrecen's 30%, shots finished 29-1, expected goals 4.32 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puskas FC and 0.83 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Debrecen?

Puskas FC 4-1 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 52%, draw 23%, Debrecen 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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