ABD (K) 1-0 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 3 Aug 2024

ABD (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Japonya (K)
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Olympics – 2024

ABD (K) vs Japonya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.54
2-3 Goals
46%
2.02
4-5 Goals
19%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.76
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
10%
13.15
X/X
7%
7.06
2/1
8%
19.85
2/2
10%
9.13
2/X
3%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v Japonya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
– Crosses 4.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

ABD (K) vs Japonya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Japonya (K)
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
19.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
28.02.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
27.07.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
04.08.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
06.07.2015 ABD (K) ABD (K) 5-2 HT 4-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) KDK

ABD (K) 1-0 Japonya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
1-0
AWAY Japonya (K)
0.86 xG 0.63
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
926 Passes 297
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) nicked a narrow win over Japonya (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD (K) had 71% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 29%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.86 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for ABD (K) and 1.17 for Japonya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?

ABD (K) 1-0 Japonya (K) in the Olympics on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 60%, draw 16%, Japonya (K) 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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