Kanada (K) 0-0 Almanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
16%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
5.08
1/2
4%
22.3
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
7.62
X/2
14%
4.75
X/X
10%
5.3
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
22%
2.62
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 7.62 — our 24% vs market 9.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.5pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Almanya (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 354
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.06.2018 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) HAZ
09.04.2017 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
26.06.2011 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
0-0
AWAY Almanya (K)
1.86 xG 2.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 13
398 Passes 487
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
47 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Almanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) and Almanya (K) fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 46% of the ball to Almanya (K)'s 54%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.86 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Almanya (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kanada (K) and 2.33 for Almanya (K).

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Kanada (K) 0-0 Almanya (K) in the Olympics on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 36%, draw 23%, Almanya (K) 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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