Wisla Plock 2-1 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.58/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.51
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
27.10.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-1 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
25.10.2015 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
23.08.2014 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 2-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
2-1
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Chrobry Glogow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 39% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 61%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Wisla Plock and 0.75 for Chrobry Glogow.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Chrobry Glogow?

Wisla Plock 2-1 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 51%, draw 27%, Chrobry Glogow 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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