Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0-1
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rekord Bielsko-Biala edged past Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 50% of the ball to Rekord Bielsko-Biala's 50%, shots finished 20-11.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 44%, draw 24%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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