SKRA Czestochowa 1-4 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -19%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.41
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
25.11.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 3-1 HT 2-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
22.07.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 3-0 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
11.03.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-3 HT 0-2 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
10.08.2022 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 2-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
01.05.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 3-2 HT 2-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
1-4
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow cruised past SKRA Czestochowa 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SKRA Czestochowa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, SKRA Czestochowa had 44% of the ball to Hutnik Krakow's 56%, shots finished 20-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hutnik Krakow led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 2.17 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Hutnik Krakow?

SKRA Czestochowa 1-4 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKRA Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 42%, draw 30%, Hutnik Krakow 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SKRA Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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