Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
0-1
AWAY Polonia Bytom
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom squeezed past Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Podbeskidzie Bielsko at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 44% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 56%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Polonia Bytom?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 41%, draw 24%, Polonia Bytom 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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