Beijing Guoan 2-2 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Aug 2025

Beijing Guoan
2-2 HT 1-1
Tianjin Teda
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2025

Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
15%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.74
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
7%
13.05
X/X
10%
7.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.2
2/2
6%
9.83
2/X
4%
18.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
+0.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beijing Guoan v Tianjin Teda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.09/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.85
+13% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +50%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.9 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
347 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.04.2025 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
30.04.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
09.08.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
10.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
03.07.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN

Beijing Guoan 2-2 Tianjin Teda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-2
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.21 xG 1.73
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 0
551 Passes 172
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
39 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan and Tianjin Teda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Beijing Guoan carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 73% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 27%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.21 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.67 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda?

Beijing Guoan 2-2 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 64%, draw 18%, Tianjin Teda 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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