Dukla Prag 1-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.62
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 32% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
0.92/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
-40% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
17.3 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 2.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
274 Passes 450
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-2 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
09.11.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 6-0 HT 3-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
08.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
25.08.2018 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
17.03.2018 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
15.09.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
0.56 xG 0.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
214 Passes 375
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag and Banik Ostrava couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Banik Ostrava at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 39% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 61%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.56 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dukla Prag and 2.00 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Dukla Prag 1-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 30%, draw 22%, Banik Ostrava 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Banik Ostrava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Under 2.5
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