FK Pardubice 1-3 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
62%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
63%
Away Win
67%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 71%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.28/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.83
+31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
15.7 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.50 xG 2.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
194 Passes 384
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
19.07.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
03.12.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.08.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-2 HT 3-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
09.04.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
15.10.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-2 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-3
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.18 xG 1.99
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
134 Passes 475
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag saw off FK Pardubice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 27% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 73%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.18 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 3.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prag?

FK Pardubice 1-3 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 18%, draw 20%, Sparta Prag 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
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