FK Pardubice 1-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 30% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 72%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
0.43/2.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.87
+1% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
9.1 Crosses 19.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.49 xG 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
197 Passes 418
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 45
10 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
03.12.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.08.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-2 HT 3-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
09.04.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
15.10.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-2 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.03.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.52 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
189 Passes 316
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag squeezed past FK Pardubice 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 41% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 59%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.52 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 3.17 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prag?

FK Pardubice 1-2 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 21%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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