Slovan Liberec 2-3 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.89
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.9 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.21 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
227 Passes 281
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 1-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
09.03.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
30.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 5-2 HT 3-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
17.04.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
21.11.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
21.02.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
2-3
AWAY Karvina
0.94 xG 0.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
256 Passes 321
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina edged past Slovan Liberec 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 46% of the ball to Karvina's 54%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 0.94 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.50 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Karvina?

Slovan Liberec 2-3 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 50%, draw 27%, Karvina 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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