Viktoria Plzen 4-2 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.81
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
24.5 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 226
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-3 HT 0-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
20.01.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
27.04.2019 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 3-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
20.07.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
26.05.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-5 HT 1-3 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
29.07.2017 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 4-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
4-2
AWAY Dukla Prag
3.27 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
458 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen got the better of Dukla Prag 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 57% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.27 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.50 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Dukla Prag?

Viktoria Plzen 4-2 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 63%, draw 20%, Dukla Prag 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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