Dukla Prag 1-3 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 66%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.02/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.92
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
Crosses 36.3
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.01.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
27.04.2019 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 3-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
20.07.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
26.05.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-5 HT 1-3 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
29.07.2017 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 4-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
29.04.2017 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
1-3
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.15 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
226 Passes 345
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen beat Dukla Prag 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 43% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 57%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.15 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dukla Prag and 3.17 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?

Dukla Prag 1-3 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 20%, draw 26%, Viktoria Plzen 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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